Democratic Debate in Nevada
Overall, as an undecided voter, I was disappointed (again) in the debate format and post-debate analysis. There was clearly a forum bias in favor of Clinton, who did adequately well. But I think, as far as substance is concerned, other candidates did better.
Much is being brewed up about who won and who lost and whatever, of course. Sadly, framing debates with "winners" and "losers" means basically that the US citizens are the losers. The whole thing veers into the tribalistic, pep-rally mentality that rages throughout our society and infects everything from elections to foreign policy to domestic policy and so forth. But there are so many people who crave that kind of thing that the media will feed it to them with a spoon. And, just as if we gorged ourselves on junk food to the exclusion of nutritious meals of substance, our national political health suffers as a consequence.
Let's talk first about the meme that's going around that Clinton "won" this one. When pressed, the pundits say that because she's in the lead, and didn't "lose", then she won. It's about as shallow an analysis as one could propose, but one that seems to be gaining traction. But on examination, it holds no water, whatsoever. Some thoughts about Clinton in this debate:
1. CNN spent much of their pre-debate analysis pimping the whole attack-Clinton meme, setting the stage for conflict and confrontation between her and the other front-runner candidates and Clinton's counter-attack.
2. CNN then decided to make the first 15 minutes explicitly about Clinton. Rather than asking questions of substance and allowing distinctions between candidates to develop organically, the moderator intentionally drove the debate into the mud with questions to candidates about her controversial positions. It was clear that CNN wanted a slap-fest, which is exactly what they got.
3. The whole exchange seemed crafted to focus on Clinton and make it appear that Clinton was being bullied. Clinton was given significantly more time than other candidates, and in some cases FOUR TIMES as much time. Every time Edwards or Obama tried to point out Clinton's inconsistency in rhetoric or voting, Clinton supporters booed them from the audience. Clinton, who surely knows better, had the audacity to try to frame their objections to her lack of consistency as Republican tactics. And CNN's moderator explicitly asked a question about the gender issue that was geared to allowing Clinton to address being bullied. To which, her response spent over a minute explaining in one breath why she wasn't playing the gender card, and then in another several breaths, playing the heck out of it.
4. Finally, at the end of the debate, CNN chose to have an audience member ask Clinton a planted question about "diamonds or pearls" to further cement the gender issue and pander to Clinton's supporters.
5. CNN's post-debate analysis featured two commentators: Gergen and Carville, both of whom had served in Clinton's husband's administration. Carville, in fact, is an "informal advisor" to the Clinton campaign. Yet the clear bias in these allegiances were never mentioned in the post-debate analysis.
From the above, it is hard to conclude anything other than CNN was grossly biased in favor of providing Clinton as much focus as possible. If she "won" the debate, it's a victory with an asterisk beside it. If she "won" by simply "not losing", given the amount of forum bias in her favor then it's a black mark against her.
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Let's talk a bit about the candidates, per their actual performance, in order of how they're doing in the polls:
Clinton.
Generally an okay performance, with the exception that the above points really soured me against her. Her answer appealing to women (the non-gender-card gender card answer) probably was her high point of the night. She knows that many women will be voting for her regardless of her policies or positions, because they see in her the chance to have a woman President, and that trumps all other considerations. So, she wisely is trying to emphasize this aspect, while trying to not look like she's so blatantly pandering to the women's vote (something she's not managing too well). Her answers on substance were generally nebulous and evasive, which further supports the developing meme that she parses and triangulates, rather than showing real leadership. She came out prepared to counterattack, and did, but in such a way that didn't actually address the objections leveled at her. And casting her opponents' legitimate objections to her inconsistency as "Republican tactics" in an effort to avoid having to address them is a no-no in my book. Negative points for playing the gender card AND the victim card.
Obama.
Not his best performance from a charisma standpoint but otherwise okay. Seemed hesitant and academic in contrast with some of his recent speeches which show him vibrant nd passionate. However, his arguments on substance were sound and detailed. His objection to Clinton's calling the top 6% the "middle class" was spot on, but he missed an opportunity to really shine, there. Stumbled on the question of the drivers licenses for illegals: his position is sound, but he articulated it poorly, which will make people think that he's waffling. This is unfortunate for him, because he's been consistent on his position, compared to Clinton who actually has been waffling back and forth on this issue during the past two weeks.
Edwards
Terrible debate for Edwards. Many of his answers had him responding to Clinton or addressing her positions. The audience's boos goaded him into being defensive. He introduced very little in the way of substance about his own ideas. He did make good, clearcut arguments about the Clinton's inconsistencies on a number of issues. However, his own consistency between his positions today and his voting record was thrown into sharp relief rather well by Kucinich. Seemed hollowed out, a bit, by this debate. As a result, I don't expect he was able to gain much new support from this event.
Richardson
Managed to include his resume well. Answer on border security was sound and detailed. Answer on national security and Pakistan well-principled, but had the air of impracticality. Missed an opportunity to re-frame the question on "national security vs human rights", which is a wedge issue framing. I would have preferred to see him reject the framing because it's a false dichotomy, as a couple of the other candidates did. Tried to "rise above" the arguments by casting the others as slinging mud, which lost support with me. I don't consider having animated disagreement over factual issues with someone's voting record to be "slinging mud", and when people try to quench that debate by suggesting it's mudslinging, it irritates me. Generally poor speaking skills get in his way, even when he's correct about things.
Biden
Probably one of strongest showings of the debate. Was authoritative and well-informed. Clinton says she's "ready to be President" on Day 1 and it sounds hollow because what she really wants people to understand is that her husband is ready to help her be President on Day 1. But when Biden says he has the experience to lead the country from Day 1, it rings true. At various times, the other candidates remarked on Biden's experience or built on his earlier response. His answer on Pakistan was a showcase of his experience and understanding of the issues facing the country in foreign policy. Very detailed answers, good command of the issues. Showed a sense of humor.
Dodd.
A bit crusty, but clearly well-informed and his experience was on display. Dodd's answer about merit pay for teachers was probably the best answer to that question and also his best moment of the evening. Tried to avoid the bare knuckle work of the top three candidates, but again, calling Edwards' passion and animation in debate "anger" is an unfortunate framing. It is legitimate to expect the candidates to distinguish themselves and to do so passionately and animatedly. Aside from the legitimate need for passionate, factual debate, there's the simple visceral thrill many viewers sadly get from seeing conflict. Dodd hopes to gain sympathy, like Richardson, for calling for a kinder, gentler debate. Not going to happen (especially when the debates are being structured intentionally to lead to conflict, and that conflict is something many viewers enjoy). Dodd's answer on the question of illegal immigrants was good, but the spoken Spanish was a blatant pander.
Kucinich.
It's painful to say, but if this man were six inches taller and knew how to be more selective on what he says, he'd be in the top tier, right now. The height issue is an unfortunate bias of human nature, sadly, and Kucinich has no control over it. But intentionally discussing your UFO experiences is something that is all his fault. And so, taken together with other comments, there's really nothing he can say at this point to become anything other than a joke, to many people. It's too bad, because many of his positions are quite reasonable. And his point in the debate about "imagine having a President that's right the FIRST time" is spot on, and probably hs best claim to the Presidency. However, as Dean has recently quipped, "I told you so" is a very poor campaign slogan. Many folks don't like to be reminded that they were flat wrong, and their unfortunate human response is to actually think less of the one who was right all along. As frustrating as this is, it's a factor in play with Kucinich.
Kucinich made another good point when he noted that, for all of Edwards' arguments about Clinton's inconsistencies, Edwards has shifted positions on some key positions himself, in the past few years. It's important to note that Clinton's inconsistency is an entirely different kind than Edwards' is. Clinton is trying to parse and triangulate and hold two contradictory positions at the same time, depending on the forum in which she's speaking. Edwards has taken very clear and unequivocal positions, but they are in direct contradiction of positions that he took six years ago, which he now says were wrong. To be honest, these inconsistencies shatter my confidence in Clinton's integrity as well as make me question whether Edwards is simply incompetent or just expediently insincere. Neither is acceptable and Kucinich is quite right to point this out.
Conclusion:
All told, I'd have to say that Biden and Kucinich turned in top-notch debate performances. Clinton, Obama, Richardson and Dodd did adequately well. Edwards probably had a sub-par night.
However, Clinton clearly benefited from a significant forum bias, however, which tarnishes both her performance and CNN's staging of the event, in my view. If some say that she "won" by simply "not losing" in such a biased forum, then I'd be more tempted to say that she actually "lost" by "not winning".
To have been given such a huge forum advantage as CNN gave Clinton (pre-show, post-show, planted questions and time advantage, not to mention the focus on Clinton in the first 15 minutes and the audience members classlessly booing her opponents), and then NOT to walk away as the clear-cut winner seems to me to be a black eye for her. To walk away as merely not having "lost" is, under such circumstances, truly damning with faint praise.
Finally, a huge black mark against CNN for the pre-debate orchestration of the Clinton pile-up, as well as the lavishing of time and opportunity upon her during the debate to redeem herself and the biased post-debate analysis. Whether because CNN wants Clinton to win or whether they just think it's good business to showcase her as a controversial figure, it showed an aggravating lack of objectivity in something so critically important in our body politic. Such forum bias really has no place in these events, and though I don't blame Clinton for taking advantage of it, someone at CNN owes the US public an apology for abdicating the responsibility to provide a level playing field for these debates.



